According to pollster Leger, the Conservatives have taken the lead over the Liberal Party in the run-up to the federal election. With the first half of the campaigning almost complete, 34 per cent of people polled say they intend to vote for the Tories, 30 per cent for the Liberals. The NDP have 24 per cent of the vote, the Bloc seven per cent, PPC three per cent, and the Greens two per cent. One per cent are voting elsewhere.

Leger says the Conservatives need significantly more votes than the Liberals to form government, reminding everyone that they had one per cent more votes than the Grits in 2019.
Not only are they are making a breakthrough in Atlantic Canada, but they also have at least 20% of the share of vote in Quebec and are within striking distance of the Liberals in Ontario. Another concern for the incumbent liberals is the strength of the NDP in Ontario and BC, which could cost them seats in both provinces.

2021 FEDERAL ELECTION
In the past week, 41% of Canadians say their opinion of Justin Trudeau has deteriorated, while 23% say their opinions of Erin O’Toole and Jagmeet Singh have improved.
56% of Canadians are dissatisfied with the Government of Canada, led by Justin Trudeau – an increase of 5 percentage points *.
When Canadians are asked which leader would make Canada’s best Prime Minister, Justin Trudeau and Jagmeet Singh tie at 23%, but Erin O’Toole is a close second (21%).
When Canadians are asked who will win the next Federal Election and form the next government:
o39% say the Liberal Party (-8 percentage points *)
o28% say the Conservative Party (+10 percentage points *)
o7% say the New Democratic Party (-1 percentage point *)
* Since our last survey, dated August 17, 2021.